2023 Monitoring Report on the German Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change read more
The chart consists of two illustrations: one for the climate protection scenario RCP 2.6 and the other for the high emissions scenario RCP 8.5 indicating the range of the projected change in the annual mean temperature in Germany compared to a specific reference period. The illustration on the left shows the change compared to the multi-annual temperature mean of the period from 1971 to 2000. With regard to the climate protection scenario, the annual mean temperature for the period from 2031 to 2060 will be by approximately 0.8 to 1.7 degrees Celsius higher than the reference value. In the period from 2071 to 2100, the deviation from the reference value will be on a similar scale. In case of the high emissions scenario it is expected that in the period from 2031 to 2060, the temperature will rise by 1.5 to 2.4 °C compared to the multi-annual mean of the period from 1971 to 2000. For the period from 2071 to 2100 in this scenario, it is projected that the annual mean temperature will increase by 2.9 to just under 5 °C. The illustration on the right shows the change compared to the multi-annual temperature mean of the period from 1881 to 1910. In both scenarios examined, the increase is higher than in the left-hand chart. In the case of the climate protection scenario, the annual mean temperature for the period from 2031 to 2060, compared to the multi-annual mean temperature of the period from 1881 to 1910, will be by approximately 1.5 to 2.3 degrees Celsius higher. In the period from 2071 to 2100, the deviation from the reference value will be on a similar scale. In the case of the high emissions scenario, it is expected that in the period from 2031 to 2060, the temperature will rise by 2.1 to 3.2 °C compared to the reference value. For the period from 2071 to 2100 in the high emissions scenario, it is projected that the annual mean temperature will increase by between 3.7 and just under 5.5 °C.
