PALSALARM – Global change impacts on sub-arctic palsa mires and greenhouse gas feedbacks to the climate system

Background and Goals

Palsa mires are subarctic mire complexes with permanently frozen peat hummocks. They have marginal permafrost characteristics that occur only at high latitudes in parts of Fennoscandia, Russia, Canada and Alaska They are also known to be biologically heterogeneous environments with a rich bird species diversity, and are listed as a priority habitat type by the European Union. In recent decades there has been an alarming decline of palsa mires in northern Europe, which is thought to be due to regional climatic warming. The degradation of these permafrost characteristics has been accompanied by the release of methane and carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, both significant greenhouse gases. Some of the most important nesting sites for migratory birds in northern Europe are also affected.

Objectives:

The central aim of the study is to estimate future changes in the distribution of palsa mires in Fennoscandia, and the implications of these changes for greenhouse gas budgets and nature conservation. The project has four specific objectives:

  1. To map the current distribution of palsa mires;
  2. To model future changes in palsa mire distribution due to projected climate warming;
  3. To estimate future changes in the CH4 and CO2 budgets of palsa mires;
  4. To assess the ecosystem implications of palsa mire degradation and investigate possible conservation measures.

Content time

to

Research area/region

Country
  • Denmark
  • Finland
  • Norway
  • Sweden

Steps in the process of adaptation to climate change

Step 1: Understand and describe climate change

Approach and results 

studies on palsa mires, particularly surface laser scanning of palsa mires in subarctic Finland. Modeling changes in the distribution of palsa mires in the 21st century based on the emission scenarios A1B, A2 and B1.

Parameter (climate signals)
  • Higher average temperatures

Step 2a: Identify and assess risks - climate effects and impact

Approach and results 

The results offer indications of rapid and potentially irreversible impacts of climate change in highly valued natural environments, which will be of interest and concern to policy makers in the Nordic region and beyond. Tehy provide useful information for the research community on the implications of climate change for permafrost, for ecosystems and for greenhouse gas budgets. They will naturally feed into international assessments such as IPCC, ACIA and IPY. The results may also offer an early indicator of rapid and potentially irreversible impacts of climate change in highly valued environments.

Step 3: Develop and compare measures

Time horizon
  • 2071–2100 (far future)

Participants

Funding / Financing 

The project is funded by the Nordic Council of Ministers for the Arctic Cooperation Programme 2006-2008.

Project management 

Finnish Environment Institute

Cooperation/Partners 

 

  • SYKE, Research Programme for Global Change;
  • Sweden University of Copenhagen, Institute of Geography
  • Finland University of Oulu, Thule Institute/Department of Geography;
  • Finland University of Lund, Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystems Analysis
Contact

Finnish Environment Institute
Mechelininkatu 34a
FI-00251 Helsinki

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Fields of action:
 biological diversity