REGKLAM - Development and Testing of an Integrated Regional Climate Change Adaption Programme for the Model Region Dresden

Background and Goals

Dresden is currently one of the largest and most dynamic economic regions in Germany’s eastern states. However, in the years to come this city on the Elbe and its surroundings will have to deal with the direct and indirect impact of climate change. These are expected to bring challenges to practically all areas of public and private life. A large consortium of regional actors from politics, administration, business and science has therefore placed the city and region of Dresden at the heart of wide-ranging investigations. Within the framework of the REGKLAM project, these actors design strategies to better cope with the regional impact of climate change. Regional climate change not only brings risks but also offers opportunities to Dresden and its surroundings. Thus a special challenge for the region is to pinpoint and exploit these opportunities while reducing or indeed avoiding risks.

The work of REGKLAM covers a wide range of topics, which are all reflected in the main product of the project: the integrated regional climate adaption programme.

Research and development in REGKLAM are organized into four modules: Module 1 develops the main product, the integrated regional climate adaption programme. This is subdivided into strategic topics such as “water balance and water management”, and jointly developed by representatives of the local administration, business and politics. Strategies for the transfer of data and insights gained on climate change, its repercussions and potential adaption measures are also developed in the module. Module 2 investigates the theoretical basis behind the development of various forms of adaption. Regionalized scenarios describe the changing climate, economy and society while taking account of global effects as well as local changes specific to the Dresden region. Integrated scenarios draw together the individual changes into complex frameworks for the development and evaluation of alternative forms of adaption. Module 3 develops concrete adaption strategies in exemplary fields of action such as urban structures, water systems and land use. These strategies are also designed to take account of production conditions in trade and industry as well as the sectors environment and health. In Module 4 the scientific work of the project is coordinated and support given to the collaboration of regional actors, for example by the organization of internal project meetings and working groups as well as information events for the region.

Objective of the project is to make a concrete contribution to climate change adaptation for the Dresden region by developing and testing an integrated regional climate adaptation program. Another goal is to strengthen the long-term competitiveness of the region through practical and workable recommendations for climate change adaptation measures.

Content time

to

Research area/region

Country
  • Germany
Region of implementation (all German federal states)
  • Saxony
Natural spatial classification
  • Erz Mountains, Thuringian Forest and Bavarian Forest
  • South-Eeastern basin and hills
Spatial resolution 

Dresden

Steps in the process of adaptation to climate change

Step 1: Understand and describe climate change

Approach and results 

For Germany, there are data from different regional climate models for the period 2001-2100 that are based on the SRES scenarios of the IPCC. The following models will be used:

  • CLM 3.0: model runs from the CLM-Community;
  • REMO: regional climate scenarios developed by the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg on behalf of the Federal Environment Agency;
  • WEREX/WETTREG: dynamic statistical climate projections developed by the CEC Potsdam GmbH on behalf of the federal state Saxony and the Federal Environment Agency.

These data will be complemented by the station data of the DWD (from 1951 earliest) and updated during the project.

Furthermore, regionalized scenarios regarding the economic change will be worked out showing the direction and strength of the different expected climate change impacts industry-specific. This involves the transfer of meteorological scenarios in economic and business scenarios to determine the vulnerability of certain sectors and business clusters on the one hand to and secondly, the analysis of economic and business scenarios to derive policy recommendations for the state capital Dresden.

Parameter (climate signals)
  • River flooding
  • Heat waves
  • Altered rainfall patterns
  • Higher average temperatures
  • Extreme precipitation (incl. hail, snow)
  • Storm
Further Parameters 

Wind conditions, extreme values, etc. (all climate parameters of regional climate modeling)

Step 2a: Identify and assess risks - climate effects and impact

Approach and results 

In the future, Dresden and the surrounding area will be increasingly affected by the various direct and indirect impacts of climate change. The expected climate changes have an impact on almost all industries and will affect the life and location conditions of the region. The three areas of urban development, water systems and land use are considered in particular within this project.

Step 2b: Identify and assess risks - Vulnerability, risks and chances

Approach and results 

Vulnerability analyzes serve as a basis for determining the need for many adaptation measures.

Step 3: Develop and compare measures

Measures and/or strategies 

There are three key areas within this project which are particularly important for the further development of the region: urban structures, supply and disposal infrastructure with a focus on urban water systems as well as land use.

These three processes will be connected:

  1. Development of an implementation-oriented "Integrated Regional Climate Adaptation Programme (IRKAP)";
  2. Initiation and supporting the implementation of key projects and further measures for adapting to climate change;
  3. Consolidation of a regional actor network.

Module 1 develops the main product, the integrated regional climate adaption programme. This is subdivided into strategic topics such as “water balance and water management”, and jointly developed by representatives of the local administration, business and politics. Strategies for the transfer of data and insights gained on climate change, its repercussions and potential adaption measures are also developed in the module.

Strengthen the regional long-term competitiveness through practical and workable recommendations for measures to adapt to climate change. Thus different climate adaptation and innovation strategies for the regional economy will be developed, whereas, small and medium enterprises (SMEs) are the focus of attention to provide them decision-making support.

Development of adaptation strategies for building and infrastructure, manufacturing and services, agriculture, forestry, urban and regional planning as well as adaptation and mitigation strategies for reservoir management, which is the raw water treatment and water-related land-use management in the catchment area. The subject is to develop a multi-criteria system for the optimization and decision support for the management and control of dams under changing climatic conditions.

Time horizon
  • 2036–2065
  • 2071–2100 (far future)

Step 4: Plan and implement measures

Measures and/or strategies 

Module 3 develops concrete adaption strategies in exemplary fields of action such as urban structures, water systems and land use. These strategies are also designed to take account of production conditions in trade and industry as well as the sectors environment and health.

There are following sub-projects:

  • Urban development with buildings and settlement structures, parks and open spaces as well as bio-climate and climate-related production conditions.
  • Water systems with water supply dams, water balance urban-rural, water and sewage disposal.
  • Land use adaptation strategies in crop production, forestry adaptation strategies and integrated assessment.

Participants

Funding / Financing 

Federal Ministry of Education and Research  (BMBF) - research priority: "KLIMZUG – Managing climate change in the regions for the future"

Project management 

Leibniz Institute of Ecological and Regional Development (IOER)

Cooperation/Partners 
  • TU Dresden;
  • TU Bergakademie Freiberg;
  • Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research;
  • City of Dresden;
  • Stadtentwässerung Dresden;
  • Dresden Groundwater Research Centre (DGFZ e.V.);

REGKLAM is realised by seven main partners from the fields of research, public administration and public services. Additionally, a number of institutions and private companies are involved as associated partners and subcontractors including ministries, regional land user associations, specialised services and single companies or firms.

Contact

Leibniz-Institut für ökologische Raumentwicklung e. V. (IÖR)
Weberplatz 1
D-01217 Dresden

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Fields of action:
 agriculture  buildings  spatial planning, urban and settlement development  transport and transport infrastructure  woodland and forestry  cross sectoral