SIAM – Scenarios, Impacts, and Adaptation Measures
Background and Goals
The project focuses on a core set of socio-economic and biophysical impacts for Portugal, and is based upon climate projection models. The work is divided into eleven groups, that concern themselves with various aspects such as scenario development, problem awareness of policy-makers in the government, GIS and remote sensing, and the on climate change impacts for certain sectors. The following sectors are investigated: Fisheries, forestry and biodiversity, health, water resources, agriculture, coastal zones and energy.
The project is divided into two phases: SIAM I (1999-2002) examined climate scenarios, climate change impacts and adaptation measures. SIAM II (2002-2006) continued the studies with updated climate models and added two additional components: an expanded area of study and a case study component focused on the Sado estuary.
The objective of ?SIAM is to create an integrated climate effect assessment for Portugal. In addition, the case study component in SIAM II is also intended to help policy-makers in the public sector by providing information relevant to the decision-making processes.
Content time
toResearch area/region
Country
- Portugal
Spatial resolution
Mündungsgebiet des Sado
Steps in the process of adaptation to climate change
Step 1: Understand and describe climate change
Approach and results
IPCC scenario IS92a and Hadley Centre regional climate model were used (SIAM I, relevant information for SIAM II not accessible free of charge)
Time horizon
- long term = to 2100 and beyond
Step 2a: Identify and assess risks - climate effects and impact
Approach and results
The climate change impacts are examined on the basis of the scenarios for the different sectors in Portugal.
Step 3: Develop and compare measures
Measures and/or strategies
Recommendations for adaptation measures will also be made for the examined sectors.
Time horizon
- 2071–2100 (far future)
Participants
Funding / Financing
SIAM I: Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation (Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian, FCG), 1999 - 2002 Foundation for Science and Technology, Portugal (Fundação da Ciência e da Tecnologia, FCT), 2000 - 2002
SIAM II Ministry for Cities, Spatial Planning and the Environment, Portugal
Project management
Faculty of Natural Sciences of the University of Lisbon (Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa)
Cooperation/Partners
Universidade da Beira Interior Universidade Lusófona Instituto de Meteorologia Universidade dos Açores Universidade Nova de Lisboa Instituto Superior Técnico Chiron, Sistemas de Informação, SA Universidade do Algarve Instituto Superior de Agronomia Escola Superior Agrária de Elvas Universidade do Porto Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge Instituto Nacional de Engenharia, Tecnologia e Inovação Universidade de Coimbra Ecoprogresso Instituto Nacional de Engenharia e Tecnologia Industrial HIDROPROJECTO, SA Euronatura
Contact
Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa
Edifício C1, Sala 1.4.39, Campo Grande
Lissabon
Portugal
