Possible effects of climate change on the distribution of rodents transmitting hantavirus

Background and Goals

Rodents can transmit a variety of diseases to humans. Hantaviruses, which can cause severe kidney diseases, are particularly important. Direct contact with an infected rodent is not essential for infection, as the viruses excreted in the droppings and urine of feral rodents are mainly transmitted through contaminated dust. The number of hantavirus illnesses reported has been rising significantly in Germany and neighbouring countries (France, Belgium) for some years and there have been numerous minor epidemics. The abundance and distribution of feral rodents is often subject to significant fluctuations, thought to be caused by a combination of various climatic factors that lead to above average availability of food for the rodents (known as "mast years").

The project will study the influence of climatic factors on the abundance and distribution of hanta-carrying rodents (bank voles, yellow necked mice, striped field mice) and their rate of infestation with hantavirus, analyse critical factors and product forecasts for the future situation for the hantavirus problem, particularly in respect of climate change.

Content time

to

Research area/region

Country
  • Germany

Steps in the process of adaptation to climate change

Step 1: Understand and describe climate change

Approach and results 

Based on the projections from the Climate Service Center 2.0

Step 2a: Identify and assess risks - climate effects and impact

Approach and results 

A combination of different climatic factors can lead to above average availability of food for rodents and thus promote abundance and distribution of feral rodents.

Step 3: Develop and compare measures

Measures and/or strategies 

Will be discussed; the results can be used as basic information for formulating adaptation measures

Participants

Funding / Financing 

German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety (BMUB)

German Federal Environment Agency (UBA)

Project management 

Julius Kühn Institute (JKI)

Cooperation/Partners 

Friedrich-Loeffler-Institute (FLI)

Contact

Julius Kühn-Institut
Toppheideweg 88
D-48161 Münster

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Fields of action:
 human health and care